Uncategorized

Rationalizability, Iterated Dominance, and the Theorems of Radon and Carathéodory

Roy Long, University of Chicago -- The game theoretic concepts of rationalizability and iterated dominance are closely related and provide characterizations of each other. Indeed, the equivalence between them implies that in a two player finite game, the remaining set of actions available to players after iterated elimination of strictly dominated strategies coincides with rationalizable actions. I prove a dimensionality result following from these ideas. I show that for two player games, the number of actions available to the opposing player provides a (tight) upper bound on how a player’s pure strategies may be strictly dominated by mixed strategies.

Macroeconomics

Fortune Favors the Bold: Impact of International Knowledge Transfer on Economic Growth

Michael Chen, Northwestern University -- Why do some poor countries exhibit rapid economic growth while others do not? Traditional growth models, which rely on factors of production, theorize that there will be economic convergence since there are diminishing returns to input growth, yet empirical evidence exists both for and against this theory. In this paper, I research the extent to which knowledge growth drives economic growth.

Uncategorized

Inference with Machine Learning: Commercial Banking Background and Corporate Innovation

Yongzhe Wang, University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill -- This study reveals that commercial banking backgrounds of corporate executives negatively impact corporate innovation by reducing patent applications, researcher employment, and R&D expenses. The effects intensify as the number of executives possessing such backgrounds increases. A novel machine learning framework, ML-DID, is outlined to mitigate endogeneity concerns, including omitted variable bias and selection bias in the setting of “Panel Data with Multiple Treatment Timing.” Its robustness is tested against various specifications using the random forest algorithm. Additional analysis demonstrates that the impact of a banking background is strongest among firms with financial constraints and in less competitive industries.

Macroeconomics

The Impact of the Russian Food Embargo on International Agri-Food Trade

Brendon Carter, University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign -- In 2014, after the Russian annexation of Crimea and the resulting Western sanctions on Russia, Russia responded by imposing a ban on most food imports from the sanctioning countries, which included the European Union, the United States, Canada, Norway, and Australia. This study uses a structural gravity model to empirically analyze the impacts of the Russian food embargo on bilateral trade flows, welfare, and prices, paying particular attention to the spillover impacts of this trade restriction on third countries, or countries outside of the ban. The key finding from this analysis is that many third countries underwent price impacts due to the embargo that were as large in magnitude as those for the directly-embargoed countries. The results of this analysis show that sanctions can have strong multilateral impacts that go well beyond their intended scope.

Uncategorized

Analyzing the Effects of Geopolitical Shocks on the Cryptocurrency Market

Tucker Saland, Princeton University -- The Russo-Ukrainian war had an asymmetric effect on cryptocurrency prices, with some cryptocurrencies appreciating and functioning as hedges against geopolitical risk, even as the rest of the market experienced a downturn. In the aftermath of the war, exchange-level data indicates that individuals in Russia and Ukraine purchased increased amounts of Tether, a stablecoin pegged to the US dollar. This paper has two objectives: (1) examine whether there exists a geopolitical risk premium in the cross-section of cryptocurrency returns using a rolling regression of excess weekly returns on the geopolitical risk index by Caldara, Iacoviello (2018) and control factors, and (2) understand the role of stablecoins during times of geopolitical turmoil.

Uncategorized

Our 2024 Issue

On behalf of the Stanford Economic Review Editorial Board, we are honored to present the twelfth volume of Stanford University’s undergraduate economics journal. Our publication has continued to benefit from robust growth in both readership and volume of submissions, allowing us to reach new audiences across the globe. During the 2023-2024 academic year, we have also made it a priority… Continue reading Our 2024 Issue

Commentary, Health Economics

COMMENTARY: Incentivizing Innovation in Pharmaceuticals: How to Encourage Research and Development Without Harming Consumer Welfare

Sophia Barthel, Emory University -- While developing new drugs is crucial for public health, there is a tension between incentivizing innovation (i.e., profit for pharmaceutical companies) and ensuring life-saving drugs are affordable. Pharmaceutical price gouging has drawn the public’s ire in recent years. Moreover, US spending on prescription drugs increased more than tenfold between 1980 and 2018, due in large part to the fact that drug prices in the US are 2.3 times higher than those present in other OECD countries on average. Thus, it is imperative that policymakers balance the incentive for pharmaceutical companies to invent new drugs with ensuring those drugs are affordable and accessible.

Commentary, Macroeconomics

LONG-FORM COMMENTARY: Can Benjamin Keep His Throne as the King of Currency?

Gabriel Bo, Stanford University -- The US dollar (USD) has been the default global reserve currency since the end of World War II, meaning most countries see the dollar as a safe investment and typically keep it in their coffers to conduct trade. At its highest, more than 71% of the world’s central bank reserves utilized dollar assets—that number has dropped to 59% today, but it still remains unrivaled. 

Commentary

COMMENTARY: How Tech Companies Have Exploited the Defenseless

Andrew Zeng, Stanford University -- The cost of recruiting a tester for a large language model (LLM) in the United States is incredibly high. It’s certainly higher than the cost of recruiting a tester from a job-starved country from the Global South. So in the search for scalability and profits, frontier AI companies have been recruiting testers from third-world countries, where pay is low and regulations are lax. The results for their employees have often been heartwrenching.